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Match prediction · Championship

Stoke City vs Preston North End

Sat 31 Oct · 12:30 UK time · bet365 Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Preston North End Away +1.5

For this to come in, Preston North End must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stoke City

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 2–3
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. D 0–0 v Bristol City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 1–0 at Derby County Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 2–3 v Middlesbrough Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Bolton Wanderers Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Sheffield United Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓

Preston North End

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✕ 0–4
  4. ✕ 1–4
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. D 1–1 v West Bromwich Albion Preston North End Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–4 at Wrexham Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–4 at Birmingham City Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–1 v Millwall Preston North End Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Queens Park Rangers Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Stoke City wins 1 Draws 3 Preston North End wins 1
  1. 20 Mar 2026 Preston North End 3–1 Stoke City
  2. 26 Dec 2025 Stoke City 0–0 Preston North End
  3. 5 Apr 2025 Preston North End 1–1 Stoke City
  4. 26 Nov 2024 Stoke City 0–0 Preston North End
  5. 9 Mar 2024 Preston North End 1–2 Stoke City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.