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Match prediction · Championship

Wrexham vs Preston North End

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Racecourse Ground

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Preston North End Away +1.5

For this to come in, Preston North End must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Wrexham

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 0–6
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Derby County Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Southampton Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–6 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Burnley Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓

Preston North End

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 0–4

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–4 at Birmingham City Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–1 v Millwall Preston North End Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Queens Park Rangers Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 v Lincoln City Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Watford Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Wrexham wins 1 Draws 1 Preston North End wins 0
  1. 29 Dec 2025 Wrexham 2–1 Preston North End
  2. 6 Dec 2025 Preston North End 1–1 Wrexham

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.