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Match prediction · Championship

Birmingham City vs Preston North End

Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK time · St Andrew's

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Preston North End Away +1.5

For this to come in, Preston North End must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Birmingham City

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 at West Bromwich Albion Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Middlesbrough Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Derby County Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 at Norwich City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓

Preston North End

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Millwall Preston North End Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 at Queens Park Rangers Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 v Lincoln City Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 at Watford Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Birmingham City wins 3 Draws 0 Preston North End wins 2
  1. 22 Apr 2026 Birmingham City 2–1 Preston North End
  2. 21 Oct 2025 Preston North End 0–1 Birmingham City
  3. 1 Apr 2024 Birmingham City 1–0 Preston North End
  4. 19 Sep 2023 Preston North End 2–1 Birmingham City
  5. 21 Jan 2023 Birmingham City 1–2 Preston North End

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.