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Match prediction · Championship

West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City

Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK time · The Hawthorns

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Birmingham City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

West Bromwich Albion

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Derby County West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Charlton Athletic West Bromwich Albion or draw ✓

Birmingham City

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 v Middlesbrough Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Derby County Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 at Norwich City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Southampton Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

West Bromwich Albion wins 1 Draws 2 Birmingham City wins 2
  1. 10 Feb 2026 Birmingham City 0–0 West Bromwich Albion
  2. 26 Nov 2025 West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Birmingham City
  3. 3 Feb 2024 West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Birmingham City
  4. 6 Oct 2023 Birmingham City 3–1 West Bromwich Albion
  5. 10 Feb 2023 Birmingham City 2–0 West Bromwich Albion

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.