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Match prediction · Championship

Birmingham City vs Millwall

Tue 3 Nov · 20:00 UK time · St Andrew's

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Millwall Away +1.5

For this to come in, Millwall must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Birmingham City

W4 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 4–0
  3. ✕ 3–0
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 3–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 at Lincoln City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Cardiff City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 3–0 v Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 4–0 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 1–0 at West Bromwich Albion Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓

Millwall

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✕ 4–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 4–1 v Derby County Derby County Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–2 at Portsmouth Portsmouth Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Lincoln City Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 at Preston North End Preston North End Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Birmingham City wins 2 Draws 1 Millwall wins 2
  1. 25 Feb 2026 Millwall 3–0 Birmingham City
  2. 4 Nov 2025 Birmingham City 4–0 Millwall
  3. 9 Mar 2024 Millwall 1–0 Birmingham City
  4. 2 Sep 2023 Birmingham City 1–1 Millwall
  5. 18 Apr 2023 Millwall 0–1 Birmingham City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.