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Match prediction · Championship

Portsmouth vs Millwall

Sat 24 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Fratton Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Portsmouth Home +1.5

For this to come in, Portsmouth must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Portsmouth

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 3–2
  4. ✕ 1–0
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  2. W 1–0 at Norwich City Norwich City or draw ✕
  3. W 3–2 v Sheffield United Portsmouth Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓

Millwall

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 v Lincoln City Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Preston North End Preston North End Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v West Ham United Millwall Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Middlesbrough Millwall Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Portsmouth wins 2 Draws 0 Millwall wins 3
  1. 21 Feb 2026 Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth
  2. 22 Nov 2025 Portsmouth 3–1 Millwall
  3. 5 Apr 2025 Millwall 2–1 Portsmouth
  4. 28 Jan 2025 Portsmouth 0–1 Millwall
  5. 10 Apr 2012 Portsmouth 0–1 Millwall

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.