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Match prediction · Championship

Lincoln City vs Birmingham City

Sat 31 Oct · 12:30 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Birmingham City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Lincoln City

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 0–3
  3. ✓ 0–6
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 4–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–1 v Burnley Lincoln City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 at Millwall Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–6 v West Ham United West Ham United or draw ✓
  4. L 0–3 at Sheffield United Either team to win ✓
  5. L 1–2 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓

Birmingham City

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✕ 4–0
  4. ✕ 3–0
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–1 at Cardiff City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–0 v Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 4–0 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 1–0 at West Bromwich Albion Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Middlesbrough Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Lincoln City wins 0 Draws 0 Birmingham City wins 2
  1. 8 Mar 2025 Birmingham City 1–0 Lincoln City
  2. 19 Oct 2024 Lincoln City 1–3 Birmingham City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.