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Match prediction · Championship

Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · St Andrew's

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5

For this to come in, Queens Park Rangers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Birmingham City

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✕ 4–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–0 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  2. W 1–0 at West Bromwich Albion Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Middlesbrough Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Derby County Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Norwich City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓

Queens Park Rangers

W1 D4 L0
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 4–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. W 4–1 v Derby County Derby County Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 1–1 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✕
  3. D 2–2 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at West Bromwich Albion Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Charlton Athletic Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Birmingham City wins 2 Draws 1 Queens Park Rangers wins 2
  1. 11 Mar 2026 Birmingham City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers
  2. 9 Dec 2025 Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Birmingham City
  3. 29 Mar 2024 Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Birmingham City
  4. 22 Sep 2023 Birmingham City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers
  5. 18 Mar 2023 Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Birmingham City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.