BabaVanga
Build a parlay
Match prediction · Championship

Cardiff City vs Birmingham City

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Cardiff City Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Birmingham City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Cardiff City

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 3–1
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 5–1
  5. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 at Middlesbrough Middlesbrough win ✕
  2. W 5–1 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 1–2 at Blackburn Rovers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 3–1 v Charlton Athletic Either team to win ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Bolton Wanderers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓

Birmingham City

W4 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 4–0
  5. ✕ 3–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–0 v Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✕
  2. W 4–0 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 1–0 at West Bromwich Albion Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Middlesbrough Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Derby County Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Cardiff City wins 3 Draws 1 Birmingham City wins 1
  1. 10 Apr 2024 Birmingham City 0–1 Cardiff City
  2. 13 Dec 2023 Cardiff City 0–1 Birmingham City
  3. 14 Feb 2023 Birmingham City 0–2 Cardiff City
  4. 13 Aug 2022 Cardiff City 1–0 Birmingham City
  5. 30 Apr 2022 Cardiff City 1–1 Birmingham City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.