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Match prediction · Championship

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45 UK time · Ewood Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Stoke City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Stoke City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Blackburn Rovers

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 2–3
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✕ 0–4

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–4 at Swansea City Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  2. W 2–0 v Wrexham Wrexham Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 2–3 at West Bromwich Albion Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Bristol City Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓

Stoke City

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 2–3
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 0–0 v Bristol City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Derby County Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 2–3 v Middlesbrough Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Bolton Wanderers Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Blackburn Rovers wins 1 Draws 2 Stoke City wins 2
  1. 11 Apr 2026 Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn Rovers
  2. 4 Oct 2025 Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Stoke City
  3. 12 Mar 2025 Stoke City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers
  4. 6 Nov 2024 Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Stoke City
  5. 10 Feb 2024 Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Stoke City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.