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Match prediction · Championship

Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Ewood Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Wrexham Away +1.5

For this to come in, Wrexham must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Blackburn Rovers

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 3–1
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 2–3

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. L 2–3 at West Bromwich Albion Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 1–0 at Bristol City Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 at Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–1 v Millwall Either team to win ✓

Wrexham

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 0–6
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✕ 4–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 4–1 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–2 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Derby County Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Southampton Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–6 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✓

Last meetings

Blackburn Rovers wins 0 Draws 1 Wrexham wins 1
  1. 1 Jan 2026 Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Wrexham
  2. 29 Nov 2025 Wrexham 1–1 Blackburn Rovers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.