BabaVanga
Build a parlay
Match prediction · Championship

Southampton vs Derby County

Sat 21 Nov · 12:30 UK time · St Mary's Stadium

Our call

Published on matchday at 06:00 UTC, before kick-off. Every call is graded after the match.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Southampton

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✕ 0–0
  2. ✕ 3–2
  3. ✓ 4–1
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Preston North End Either team to win ✓
  2. D 1–1 at West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 4–1 v Queens Park Rangers Southampton win ✓
  4. W 3–2 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✕
  5. D 0–0 v Bolton Wanderers Southampton win ✕

Derby County

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–4
  4. ✓ 0–4
  5. ✓ 3–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 v Bolton Wanderers Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–4 v Norwich City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–4 at Millwall Derby County Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 1–1 at Sheffield United Derby County Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Southampton wins 2 Draws 2 Derby County wins 0
  1. 11 Apr 2026 Southampton 2–1 Derby County
  2. 4 Oct 2025 Derby County 1–1 Southampton
  3. 18 Feb 2012 Southampton 4–0 Derby County
  4. 15 Oct 2011 Derby County 1–1 Southampton

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.