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Match prediction · Championship

West Ham United vs Southampton

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · London Stadium

Our call
West Ham United win
Model confidence 57%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

West Ham United

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 6–0
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 6–0
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 at Swansea City West Ham United or draw ✓
  2. W 6–0 at Lincoln City West Ham United or draw ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Queens Park Rangers West Ham United win ✕
  4. D 2–2 at Millwall Millwall Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 6–0 v Wrexham West Ham United win ✓

Southampton

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 4–1
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✕ 0–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 v Bolton Wanderers Southampton win ✕
  2. W 1–0 at Norwich City Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Portsmouth Southampton win ✓
  4. L 1–2 at Wrexham Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 4–1 v Bristol City Southampton win ✓

Last meetings

West Ham United wins 2 Draws 2 Southampton wins 1
  1. 19 Apr 2025 West Ham United 1–1 Southampton
  2. 26 Dec 2024 Southampton 0–1 West Ham United
  3. 2 Apr 2023 West Ham United 1–0 Southampton
  4. 16 Oct 2022 Southampton 1–1 West Ham United
  5. 26 Dec 2021 West Ham United 2–3 Southampton

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.