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Match prediction · Championship

Swansea City vs West Ham United

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call X2
West Ham United or draw

For this to come in, West Ham United must win or draw.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Swansea City

W4 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 1–3
  2. ✓ 3–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. W 1–0 at Millwall Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Norwich City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Lincoln City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 3–1 v Burnley Swansea City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–3 at Southampton Southampton win ✓

West Ham United

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✓ 6–0
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✓ 6–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 6–0 at Lincoln City West Ham United or draw ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Queens Park Rangers West Ham United win ✕
  3. D 2–2 at Millwall Millwall Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 6–0 v Wrexham West Ham United win ✓
  5. W 3–2 at Bolton Wanderers West Ham United win ✓

Last meetings

Swansea City wins 2 Draws 0 West Ham United wins 3
  1. 3 Mar 2018 Swansea City 4–1 West Ham United
  2. 30 Sep 2017 West Ham United 1–0 Swansea City
  3. 8 Apr 2017 West Ham United 1–0 Swansea City
  4. 26 Dec 2016 Swansea City 1–4 West Ham United
  5. 7 May 2016 West Ham United 1–4 Swansea City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.