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Match prediction · Championship

Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · St Mary's Stadium

Our call
Southampton win
Model confidence 60%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Southampton

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 0–0
  5. ✕ 3–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–2 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✕
  2. D 0–0 v Bolton Wanderers Southampton win ✕
  3. W 1–0 at Norwich City Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Portsmouth Southampton win ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Wrexham Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓

Queens Park Rangers

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✕ 4–1
  4. ✕ 0–3
  5. ✕ 5–0

Our calls: 1 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–0 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–3 at Birmingham City Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 4–1 v Derby County Derby County Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 1–1 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✕
  5. D 2–2 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Southampton wins 5 Draws 0 Queens Park Rangers wins 0
  1. 24 Feb 2026 Southampton 5–0 Queens Park Rangers
  2. 5 Nov 2025 Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Southampton
  3. 23 Dec 2023 Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Southampton
  4. 26 Aug 2023 Southampton 2–1 Queens Park Rangers
  5. 7 Feb 2015 Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Southampton

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.