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Match prediction · Championship

Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Swansea City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Swansea City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Queens Park Rangers

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✕ 4–1
  5. ✕ 0–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–3 at Birmingham City Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✕
  2. W 4–1 v Derby County Derby County Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 1–1 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✕
  4. D 2–2 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at West Bromwich Albion Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✓

Swansea City

W4 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 3–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v West Ham United West Ham United or draw ✓
  2. W 1–0 at Millwall Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Norwich City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Lincoln City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–1 v Burnley Swansea City Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Queens Park Rangers wins 2 Draws 0 Swansea City wins 3
  1. 21 Apr 2026 Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Swansea City
  2. 22 Oct 2025 Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers
  3. 21 Apr 2025 Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Swansea City
  4. 26 Dec 2024 Swansea City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers
  5. 1 Apr 2024 Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.