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Match prediction · League Two

Rochdale vs York City

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Rochdale Home +1.5

For this to come in, Rochdale must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Rochdale

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–3
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✕ 0–5
  5. ✓ 2–4

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 2–4 at Port Vale Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–5 v Accrington Stanley Rochdale or draw ✕
  3. D 2–2 v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 2–3 at Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓

York City

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–0
  4. ✕ 1–3
  5. ✓ 2–5

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 2–5 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–3 at Barnet York City Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 2–0 v Port Vale York City win ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Accrington Stanley York City win ✕
  5. D 1–1 at Newport County York City win ✕

Last meetings

Rochdale wins 0 Draws 2 York City wins 3
  1. 25 Apr 2026 Rochdale 1–1 York City
  2. 11 Nov 2025 York City 4–1 Rochdale
  3. 25 Mar 2025 Rochdale 0–4 York City
  4. 20 Aug 2024 York City 1–0 Rochdale
  5. 16 Dec 2023 Rochdale 0–0 York City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.