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Match prediction · League Two

Barnet vs York City

Tue 27 Oct · 19:45 UK time · The Hive

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
York City Away +1.5

For this to come in, York City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Barnet

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 3–1
  2. ✕ 3–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–3
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Oldham Athletic Either team to win ✕
  2. L 1–3 v Swindon Town Either team to win ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Tranmere Rovers Either team to win ✓
  4. W 3–1 at Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✕
  5. W 3–1 v Fleetwood Town Barnet or draw ✓

York City

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 3–0
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✓ 2–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Port Vale York City win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Accrington Stanley York City win ✕
  3. D 1–1 at Newport County York City win ✕
  4. D 1–1 v Northampton Town York City win ✕
  5. W 3–0 v Gillingham York City win ✓

Last meetings

Barnet wins 3 Draws 0 York City wins 2
  1. 18 Feb 2025 Barnet 3–1 York City
  2. 22 Oct 2024 York City 3–1 Barnet
  3. 24 Feb 2024 Barnet 2–0 York City
  4. 26 Sep 2023 York City 2–4 Barnet
  5. 3 Apr 2023 York City 1–0 Barnet

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.