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Match prediction · League Two

Colchester United vs Gillingham

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time

Our call 1X
Colchester United or draw

For this to come in, Colchester United must win or draw.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Colchester United

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✓ 1–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. L 1–3 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–2 at Northampton Town Colchester United Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 1–1 at Chesterfield Colchester United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Exeter City Exeter City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Newport County Newport County Home +1.5 ✓

Gillingham

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 4–1
  2. ✕ 1–3
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✕ 1–4
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–1 at Shrewsbury Town Gillingham Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–4 v Grimsby Town Gillingham Home +1.5 ✕
  3. D 1–1 v Port Vale Gillingham Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–3 at Accrington Stanley Gillingham Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 4–1 at Rotherham United Rotherham United or draw ✕

Last meetings

Colchester United wins 1 Draws 3 Gillingham wins 1
  1. 29 Dec 2025 Gillingham 1–1 Colchester United
  2. 6 Dec 2025 Colchester United 0–0 Gillingham
  3. 1 Apr 2025 Gillingham 1–1 Colchester United
  4. 26 Dec 2024 Colchester United 2–0 Gillingham
  5. 1 Jan 2024 Colchester United 0–1 Gillingham

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.