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Match prediction · League Two

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Priestfield Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Gillingham Home +1.5

For this to come in, Gillingham must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 80%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Gillingham

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 0–3
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✕ 4–1
  4. ✕ 1–3
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Port Vale Gillingham Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–3 at Accrington Stanley Gillingham Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 4–1 at Rotherham United Rotherham United or draw ✕
  4. D 0–0 v Newport County Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–3 at York City York City win ✓

Grimsby Town

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 1–2
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 at Rochdale Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–2 v Northampton Town Grimsby Town or draw ✕
  3. L 0–1 at Port Vale Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 v Shrewsbury Town Grimsby Town win ✕
  5. L 1–2 at Newport County Newport County Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Gillingham wins 0 Draws 2 Grimsby Town wins 3
  1. 18 Apr 2026 Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby Town
  2. 18 Oct 2025 Grimsby Town 1–0 Gillingham
  3. 28 Jan 2025 Grimsby Town 1–1 Gillingham
  4. 1 Oct 2024 Gillingham 0–1 Grimsby Town
  5. 16 Mar 2024 Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.