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Match prediction · League Two

Chesterfield vs Colchester United

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Colchester United Away +1.5

For this to come in, Colchester United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Chesterfield

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 4–2
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Port Vale Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 at Crawley Town Crawley Town Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 4–2 v Tranmere Rovers Chesterfield win ✓
  4. L 1–2 at Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 v York City Chesterfield Home +1.5 ✓

Colchester United

W0 D4 L1
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 v Exeter City Exeter City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Newport County Newport County Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Cheltenham Town Colchester United or draw ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Chesterfield wins 1 Draws 2 Colchester United wins 2
  1. 3 Mar 2026 Chesterfield 3–0 Colchester United
  2. 4 Oct 2025 Colchester United 6–2 Chesterfield
  3. 4 Mar 2025 Colchester United 1–0 Chesterfield
  4. 22 Oct 2024 Chesterfield 1–1 Colchester United
  5. 30 Dec 2017 Chesterfield 0–0 Colchester United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.