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Match prediction · Championship

Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Queens Park Rangers Home +1.5

For this to come in, Queens Park Rangers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Queens Park Rangers

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✕ 4–1
  3. ✕ 0–3
  4. ✕ 5–0
  5. ✓ 1–4

Our calls: 1 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–4 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  2. W 5–0 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–3 at Birmingham City Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 4–1 v Derby County Derby County Away +1.5 ✕
  5. D 1–1 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✕

Burnley

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 4–0
  2. ✕ 2–2
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 1–4
  5. ✕ 0–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 v Portsmouth Burnley win ✕
  2. L 1–4 at Lincoln City Lincoln City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Charlton Athletic Burnley win ✕
  5. W 4–0 at Watford Watford Home +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Queens Park Rangers wins 1 Draws 1 Burnley wins 3
  1. 26 Apr 2025 Queens Park Rangers 0–5 Burnley
  2. 26 Oct 2024 Burnley 0–0 Queens Park Rangers
  3. 22 Apr 2023 Burnley 1–2 Queens Park Rangers
  4. 11 Dec 2022 Queens Park Rangers 0–3 Burnley
  5. 2 May 2016 Burnley 1–0 Queens Park Rangers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.