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Match prediction · Championship

Burnley vs Portsmouth

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Turf Moor

Our call
Burnley win
Model confidence 62%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Burnley

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✕ 4–0
  3. ✕ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✓ 1–4

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–4 at Lincoln City Lincoln City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Charlton Athletic Burnley win ✕
  4. W 4–0 at Watford Watford Home +1.5 ✕
  5. D 1–1 v Derby County Burnley win ✕

Portsmouth

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 3–2
  3. ✕ 1–0
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Millwall Portsmouth Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  3. W 1–0 at Norwich City Norwich City or draw ✕
  4. W 3–2 v Sheffield United Portsmouth Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Southampton Southampton win ✓

Last meetings

Burnley wins 2 Draws 2 Portsmouth wins 1
  1. 1 Feb 2025 Portsmouth 0–0 Burnley
  2. 21 Sep 2024 Burnley 2–1 Portsmouth
  3. 31 Mar 2012 Portsmouth 1–5 Burnley
  4. 10 Dec 2011 Burnley 0–1 Portsmouth
  5. 25 Apr 2011 Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.