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Match prediction · Championship

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Molineux

Our call
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
Model confidence 61%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Wolverhampton Wanderers

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✕ 1–3
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Watford Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Portsmouth Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  3. W 2–1 at Burnley Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–3 v Bolton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  5. L 0–1 at Middlesbrough Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓

Cardiff City

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 3–1
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✕ 5–1
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Birmingham City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 at Middlesbrough Middlesbrough win ✕
  3. W 5–1 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 1–2 at Blackburn Rovers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–1 v Charlton Athletic Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Wolverhampton Wanderers wins 3 Draws 0 Cardiff City wins 2
  1. 2 Mar 2019 Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–0 Cardiff City
  2. 30 Nov 2018 Cardiff City 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  3. 6 Apr 2018 Cardiff City 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  4. 19 Aug 2017 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–2 Cardiff City
  5. 1 Apr 2017 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–1 Cardiff City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.