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Match prediction · Championship

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Molineux

Our call
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
Model confidence 61%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Wolverhampton Wanderers

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✕ 1–3
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Portsmouth Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  2. W 2–1 at Burnley Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–3 v Bolton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  4. L 0–1 at Middlesbrough Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v West Bromwich Albion Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw ✓

Watford

W1 D0 L4
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✕ 0–4
  4. ✕ 1–5
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–5 at Cardiff City Watford Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–4 v Burnley Watford Home +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–1 at Bristol City Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Wolverhampton Wanderers wins 4 Draws 0 Watford wins 1
  1. 10 Mar 2022 Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–0 Watford
  2. 11 Sep 2021 Watford 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  3. 1 Jan 2020 Watford 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  4. 28 Sep 2019 Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–0 Watford
  5. 27 Apr 2019 Watford 1–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.