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Match prediction · Premier League

Chelsea vs Leeds United

Sat 21 Nov · 15:00 UK time · Stamford Bridge

Our call

Published on matchday at 06:00 UTC, before kick-off. Every call is graded after the match.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Chelsea

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 5–1
  2. ✕ 2–0
  3. ✓ 0–2
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✕ 0–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–1 at Sunderland Chelsea or draw ✕
  2. W 2–0 v Manchester United Manchester United Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–2 v Tottenham Hotspur Either team to win ✓
  4. W 2–0 at Everton Everton Home +1.5 ✕
  5. W 5–1 v Bournemouth Either team to win ✓

Leeds United

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. W 1–0 v Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–2 at Bournemouth Either team to win ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Sunderland Sunderland Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Manchester United Leeds United Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Arsenal Arsenal win ✓

Last meetings

Chelsea wins 2 Draws 1 Leeds United wins 2
  1. 10 Feb 2026 Chelsea 2–2 Leeds United
  2. 3 Dec 2025 Leeds United 3–1 Chelsea
  3. 4 Mar 2023 Chelsea 1–0 Leeds United
  4. 21 Aug 2022 Leeds United 3–0 Chelsea
  5. 11 May 2022 Leeds United 0–3 Chelsea

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.