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Match prediction · Premier League

Bournemouth vs Leeds United

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Vitality Stadium

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Bournemouth or Leeds United must win.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Bournemouth

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–5
  4. ✓ 2–0
  5. ✓ 3–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–0 at Manchester United Either team to win ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Sunderland Bournemouth win ✓
  3. L 1–5 at Chelsea Either team to win ✓
  4. L 0–1 v Liverpool Either team to win ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Brentford Brentford Away +1.5 ✓

Leeds United

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 4–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 at Sunderland Sunderland Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Manchester United Leeds United Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 at Arsenal Arsenal win ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 4–1 v Newcastle United Leeds United Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Bournemouth wins 1 Draws 2 Leeds United wins 2
  1. 22 Apr 2026 Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds United
  2. 27 Sep 2025 Leeds United 2–2 Bournemouth
  3. 30 Apr 2023 Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds United
  4. 5 Nov 2022 Leeds United 4–3 Bournemouth
  5. 20 Jan 2015 Leeds United 1–0 Bournemouth

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.