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Match prediction · Premier League

Manchester United vs Bournemouth

Sun 25 Oct · 14:00 UK time · Old Trafford

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Manchester United or Bournemouth must win.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Manchester United

W0 D4 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Leeds United Leeds United Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Tottenham Hotspur Either team to win ✕
  3. D 1–1 at Fulham Fulham Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 v Manchester City Either team to win ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Everton Everton Home +1.5 ✓

Bournemouth

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 2–2
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 1–5
  5. ✓ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Sunderland Bournemouth win ✓
  2. L 1–5 at Chelsea Either team to win ✓
  3. L 0–1 v Liverpool Either team to win ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Brentford Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Newcastle United Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Manchester United wins 0 Draws 4 Bournemouth wins 1
  1. 20 Mar 2026 Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United
  2. 15 Dec 2025 Manchester United 4–4 Bournemouth
  3. 27 Apr 2025 Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester United
  4. 22 Dec 2024 Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
  5. 13 Apr 2024 Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.