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Match prediction · Premier League

Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Stamford Bridge

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Chelsea or Bournemouth must win.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Chelsea

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✓ 4–3
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✕ 0–3

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–3 at Brentford Chelsea Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 2–2 v Hull City Chelsea win ✕
  3. L 1–2 at Arsenal Arsenal win ✓
  4. W 4–3 v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–2 at Fulham Fulham Home +1.5 ✓

Bournemouth

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 2–2
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Liverpool Either team to win ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Brentford Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Newcastle United Either team to win ✕
  4. D 1–1 v Everton Everton Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Manchester City Manchester City win ✓

Last meetings

Chelsea wins 2 Draws 3 Bournemouth wins 0
  1. 30 Dec 2025 Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth
  2. 6 Dec 2025 Bournemouth 0–0 Chelsea
  3. 14 Jan 2025 Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth
  4. 14 Sep 2024 Bournemouth 0–1 Chelsea
  5. 19 May 2024 Chelsea 2–1 Bournemouth

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.