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Match prediction · Premier League

Arsenal vs Chelsea

Sun 6 Sep · 16:30 UK time · Emirates Stadium

Our call
Arsenal win
Model confidence 63%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Arsenal

W2 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 3–0
  2. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 2 of 2 came in

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  1. W 1–0 at Aston Villa Arsenal or draw ✓
  2. W 3–0 v Coventry City Arsenal win ✓

Chelsea

W2 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✓ 4–3

Our calls: 2 of 2 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–3 v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–2 at Fulham Fulham Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Arsenal wins 3 Draws 2 Chelsea wins 0
  1. 1 Mar 2026 Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
  2. 30 Nov 2025 Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal
  3. 16 Mar 2025 Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea
  4. 10 Nov 2024 Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal
  5. 23 Apr 2024 Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.