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Match prediction · Premier League

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Mon 31 Aug · 20:00 UK time · Villa Park

Our call X2
Arsenal or draw

For this to come in, Arsenal must win or draw.

Model confidence 77%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Aston Villa

W0 D0 L1
  1. ✕ 0–4

Our calls: 0 of 1 came in

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  1. L 0–4 at Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✕

Arsenal

W1 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 3–0

Our calls: 1 of 1 came in

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  1. W 3–0 v Coventry City Arsenal win ✓

Last meetings

Aston Villa wins 2 Draws 1 Arsenal wins 2
  1. 30 Dec 2025 Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa
  2. 6 Dec 2025 Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal
  3. 18 Jan 2025 Arsenal 2–2 Aston Villa
  4. 24 Aug 2024 Aston Villa 0–2 Arsenal
  5. 14 Apr 2024 Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.