Match prediction · Premier League

ASVAston Villa vs ARSArsenal

Mon 31 Aug · 20:00 UK time · Villa Park

Our call
Arsenal or draw X2

For this to come in, Arsenal must win or draw.

CONF77%

Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Aston Villa

  1. L 0–4 at Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✗

Our calls: 0 of 1 came in

Arsenal

  1. W 3–0 v Coventry City Arsenal win ✓

Our calls: 1 of 1 came in

Last meetings

  1. 30 Dec 2025 Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa
  2. 6 Dec 2025 Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal
  3. 18 Jan 2025 Arsenal 2–2 Aston Villa
  4. 24 Aug 2024 Aston Villa 0–2 Arsenal
  5. 14 Apr 2024 Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.