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Match prediction · Premier League

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Sun 30 Aug · 14:00 UK time · Stamford Bridge

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Brighton & Hove Albion Away +1.5

For this to come in, Brighton & Hove Albion must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Chelsea

W1 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 3–2

Our calls: 1 of 1 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–2 at Fulham Fulham Home +1.5 ✓

Brighton & Hove Albion

W1 D0 L0
  1. ✕ 4–0

Our calls: 0 of 1 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–0 v Aston Villa Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Chelsea wins 2 Draws 0 Brighton & Hove Albion wins 3
  1. 21 Apr 2026 Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea
  2. 27 Sep 2025 Chelsea 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion
  3. 14 Feb 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea
  4. 28 Sep 2024 Chelsea 4–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  5. 15 May 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 Chelsea

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.