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Match prediction · Premier League

Brentford vs Chelsea

Fri 18 Sep · 20:00 UK time · Gtech Community Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Chelsea Away +1.5

For this to come in, Chelsea must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Brentford

W1 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 3–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 3 of 4 came in

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  1. D 2–2 at Bournemouth Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Sunderland Brentford win ✕
  3. D 1–1 at Leeds United Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 3–0 v Tottenham Hotspur Either team to win ✓

Chelsea

W2 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✓ 4–3
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 3 of 4 came in

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  1. D 2–2 v Hull City Chelsea win ✕
  2. L 1–2 at Arsenal Arsenal win ✓
  3. W 4–3 v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 3–2 at Fulham Fulham Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Brentford wins 0 Draws 3 Chelsea wins 2
  1. 17 Jan 2026 Chelsea 2–0 Brentford
  2. 13 Sep 2025 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea
  3. 6 Apr 2025 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea
  4. 15 Dec 2024 Chelsea 2–1 Brentford
  5. 2 Mar 2024 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.