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Match prediction · Premier League

Manchester United vs Manchester City

Sun 13 Sep · 16:30 UK time · Old Trafford

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Manchester United or Manchester City must win.

Model confidence 77%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Manchester United

W1 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 0–2
  2. ✓ 5–2
  3. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

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  1. D 2–2 at Everton Everton Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 5–2 v Ipswich Town Manchester United win ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Hull City Manchester United win ✕

Manchester City

W3 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 4–1
  3. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 3 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Coventry City Manchester City win ✓
  2. W 4–1 at Crystal Palace Manchester City win ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Bournemouth Manchester City win ✓

Last meetings

Manchester United wins 2 Draws 1 Manchester City wins 2
  1. 17 Jan 2026 Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City
  2. 14 Sep 2025 Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United
  3. 6 Apr 2025 Manchester United 0–0 Manchester City
  4. 15 Dec 2024 Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United
  5. 3 Mar 2024 Manchester City 3–1 Manchester United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.