Match prediction · Premier League

MAUManchester United vs MACManchester City

Sun 13 Sep · 16:30 UK time · Old Trafford

Our call
Either team to win 12

For this to come in, either Manchester United or Manchester City must win.

CONF77%

Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Manchester United

  1. D 2–2 at Everton Everton Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 5–2 v Ipswich Town Manchester United win ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Hull City Manchester United win ✗

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Manchester City

  1. W 1–0 v Coventry City Manchester City win ✓
  2. W 4–1 at Crystal Palace Manchester City win ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Bournemouth Manchester City win ✓

Our calls: 3 of 3 came in

Last meetings

  1. 17 Jan 2026 Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City
  2. 14 Sep 2025 Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United
  3. 6 Apr 2025 Manchester United 0–0 Manchester City
  4. 15 Dec 2024 Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United
  5. 3 Mar 2024 Manchester City 3–1 Manchester United

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.