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Match prediction · Premier League

Leeds United vs Newcastle United

Mon 14 Sep · 20:00 UK time · Elland Road

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Leeds United Home +1.5

For this to come in, Leeds United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Leeds United

W1 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Brighton & Hove Albion Either team to win ✕
  2. D 1–1 v Brentford Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest Leeds United Away +1.5 ✓

Newcastle United

W1 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 2–0
  3. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 v Bournemouth Either team to win ✕
  2. W 2–0 at Tottenham Hotspur Newcastle United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Liverpool Newcastle United Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Leeds United wins 0 Draws 3 Newcastle United wins 2
  1. 7 Jan 2026 Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds United
  2. 30 Aug 2025 Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United
  3. 13 May 2023 Leeds United 2–2 Newcastle United
  4. 31 Dec 2022 Newcastle United 0–0 Leeds United
  5. 22 Jan 2022 Leeds United 0–1 Newcastle United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.