Match prediction · Premier League

LEELeeds United vs NEWNewcastle United

Mon 14 Sep · 20:00 UK time · Elland Road

Our call
Leeds United Home +1.5 Handicap | Fulltime

For this to come in, Leeds United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

CONF81%

Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Leeds United

  1. D 1–1 at Brighton & Hove Albion Either team to win ✗
  2. D 1–1 v Brentford Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest Leeds United Away +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Newcastle United

  1. D 2–2 v Bournemouth Either team to win ✗
  2. W 2–0 at Tottenham Hotspur Newcastle United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Liverpool Newcastle United Home +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Last meetings

  1. 7 Jan 2026 Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds United
  2. 30 Aug 2025 Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United
  3. 13 May 2023 Leeds United 2–2 Newcastle United
  4. 31 Dec 2022 Newcastle United 0–0 Leeds United
  5. 22 Jan 2022 Leeds United 0–1 Newcastle United

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.