Match prediction · Premier League

Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Sun 23 Aug · 16:30 UK time · St James' Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Newcastle United Home +1.5

For this to come in, Newcastle United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Newcastle United

No league games yet this season.

Liverpool

No league games yet this season.

Last meetings

Newcastle United wins 0 Draws 1 Liverpool wins 4
  1. 31 Jan 2026 Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle United
  2. 25 Aug 2025 Newcastle United 2–3 Liverpool
  3. 26 Feb 2025 Liverpool 2–0 Newcastle United
  4. 4 Dec 2024 Newcastle United 3–3 Liverpool
  5. 1 Jan 2024 Liverpool 4–2 Newcastle United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.