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Match prediction · Premier League

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace

Sun 20 Sep · 14:00 UK time · Elland Road

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Crystal Palace Away +1.5

For this to come in, Crystal Palace must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Leeds United

W2 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 4–1

Our calls: 3 of 4 came in

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  1. W 4–1 v Newcastle United Leeds United Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Brighton & Hove Albion Either team to win ✕
  3. D 1–1 v Brentford Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest Leeds United Away +1.5 ✓

Crystal Palace

W1 D0 L3
  1. ✕ 0–2
  2. ✓ 1–4
  3. ✓ 3–2
  4. ✕ 2–3

Our calls: 2 of 4 came in

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  1. L 2–3 v Ipswich Town Crystal Palace win ✕
  2. W 3–2 at Fulham Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–4 v Manchester City Manchester City win ✓
  4. L 0–2 at Everton Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Leeds United wins 1 Draws 2 Crystal Palace wins 2
  1. 15 Mar 2026 Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds United
  2. 20 Dec 2025 Leeds United 4–1 Crystal Palace
  3. 9 Apr 2023 Leeds United 1–5 Crystal Palace
  4. 9 Oct 2022 Crystal Palace 2–1 Leeds United
  5. 25 Apr 2022 Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.