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Match prediction · Premier League

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur

Sat 24 Oct · 17:30 UK time · Stamford Bridge

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Chelsea or Tottenham Hotspur must win.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Chelsea

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 2–2
  3. ✕ 0–3
  4. ✓ 5–1
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–0 at Everton Everton Home +1.5 ✕
  2. W 5–1 v Bournemouth Either team to win ✓
  3. L 0–3 at Brentford Chelsea Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 2–2 v Hull City Chelsea win ✕
  5. L 1–2 at Arsenal Arsenal win ✓

Tottenham Hotspur

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 2–3
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✓ 3–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 3–1 v Coventry City Tottenham Hotspur win ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Manchester United Either team to win ✕
  3. L 2–3 v Aston Villa Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Everton Everton Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Nottingham Forest Tottenham Hotspur Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Chelsea wins 5 Draws 0 Tottenham Hotspur wins 0
  1. 19 May 2026 Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur
  2. 1 Nov 2025 Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 Chelsea
  3. 3 Apr 2025 Chelsea 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur
  4. 8 Dec 2024 Tottenham Hotspur 3–4 Chelsea
  5. 2 May 2024 Chelsea 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.