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Match prediction · League Two

Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time · County Ground

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Grimsby Town Away +1.5

For this to come in, Grimsby Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 80%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Swindon Town

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 3–1
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 0–0 at Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 3–1 at Barnet Either team to win ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 v Crewe Alexandra Either team to win ✓

Grimsby Town

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✕ 0–2
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✕ 4–1
  5. ✓ 5–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–2 v York City Grimsby Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–1 at Gillingham Gillingham Home +1.5 ✕
  3. D 2–2 at Rochdale Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 v Northampton Town Grimsby Town or draw ✕
  5. L 0–1 at Port Vale Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Swindon Town wins 2 Draws 1 Grimsby Town wins 2
  1. 25 Apr 2026 Grimsby Town 4–0 Swindon Town
  2. 22 Nov 2025 Swindon Town 2–2 Grimsby Town
  3. 18 Apr 2025 Grimsby Town 0–4 Swindon Town
  4. 21 Dec 2024 Swindon Town 3–1 Grimsby Town
  5. 20 Apr 2024 Grimsby Town 2–0 Swindon Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.