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Match prediction · League Two

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town

Sat 24 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Memorial Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Bristol Rovers Home +1.5

For this to come in, Bristol Rovers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Bristol Rovers

W1 D0 L4
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 1–3
  3. ✕ 1–3
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 v Salford City Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–3 v Barnet Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✕
  4. L 1–3 at Crewe Alexandra Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 1–0 v Exeter City Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓

Swindon Town

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 3–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 at Barnet Either team to win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 v Crewe Alexandra Either team to win ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Rochdale Either team to win ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Accrington Stanley Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Bristol Rovers wins 0 Draws 2 Swindon Town wins 3
  1. 28 Feb 2026 Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers
  2. 13 Dec 2025 Bristol Rovers 0–3 Swindon Town
  3. 22 Jan 2022 Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers
  4. 2 Oct 2021 Bristol Rovers 1–3 Swindon Town
  5. 23 Mar 2021 Bristol Rovers 0–1 Swindon Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.