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Match prediction · League Two

Shrewsbury Town vs Bristol Rovers

Sat 17 Oct · 12:30 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5

For this to come in, Shrewsbury Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 85%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Shrewsbury Town

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✕ 2–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Exeter City Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town win ✕
  3. D 2–2 v Colchester United Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Crewe Alexandra Shrewsbury Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Northampton Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓

Bristol Rovers

W1 D0 L4
  1. ✓ 0–2
  2. ✕ 0–3
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 1–3
  5. ✕ 1–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 v Barnet Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–3 at Crewe Alexandra Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 1–0 v Exeter City Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–3 at Gillingham Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 0–2 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town or draw ✓

Last meetings

Shrewsbury Town wins 0 Draws 2 Bristol Rovers wins 3
  1. 17 Mar 2026 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Shrewsbury Town
  2. 1 Jan 2026 Shrewsbury Town 0–3 Bristol Rovers
  3. 4 Mar 2025 Shrewsbury Town 0–0 Bristol Rovers
  4. 22 Oct 2024 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Shrewsbury Town
  5. 1 Apr 2024 Bristol Rovers 0–0 Shrewsbury Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.