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Match prediction · League Two

Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5

For this to come in, Shrewsbury Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Shrewsbury Town

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 0–2
  2. ✓ 2–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✕ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town win ✕
  2. D 2–2 v Colchester United Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Crewe Alexandra Shrewsbury Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–0 v Northampton Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–2 at Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town or draw ✓

Exeter City

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 v Tranmere Rovers Exeter City or draw ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Port Vale Exeter City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Shrewsbury Town wins 0 Draws 2 Exeter City wins 3
  1. 8 Mar 2025 Exeter City 2–0 Shrewsbury Town
  2. 17 Oct 2024 Shrewsbury Town 0–2 Exeter City
  3. 12 Mar 2024 Shrewsbury Town 0–3 Exeter City
  4. 28 Nov 2023 Exeter City 0–0 Shrewsbury Town
  5. 14 Feb 2023 Exeter City 0–0 Shrewsbury Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.