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Match prediction · League Two

Swindon Town vs Rotherham United

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · County Ground

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Rotherham United Away +1.5

For this to come in, Rotherham United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Swindon Town

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 3–1
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 at Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–1 at Barnet Either team to win ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 v Crewe Alexandra Either team to win ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Rochdale Either team to win ✓

Rotherham United

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✕ 1–4
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✓ 3–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 3–3 v Shrewsbury Town Rotherham United or draw ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Newport County Rotherham United win ✕
  3. L 0–2 at Fleetwood Town Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 1–4 v Gillingham Rotherham United or draw ✕
  5. L 0–1 at Exeter City Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Swindon Town wins 3 Draws 0 Rotherham United wins 1
  1. 3 May 2014 Swindon Town 1–2 Rotherham United
  2. 12 Oct 2013 Rotherham United 0–4 Swindon Town
  3. 14 Jan 2012 Rotherham United 1–2 Swindon Town
  4. 3 Sep 2011 Swindon Town 3–2 Rotherham United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.