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Match prediction · League Two

Rotherham United vs Newport County

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time · New York Stadium

Our call
Rotherham United win
Model confidence 56%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Rotherham United

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✕ 1–4
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at Fleetwood Town Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–4 v Gillingham Rotherham United or draw ✕
  3. L 0–1 at Exeter City Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 at Northampton Town Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓

Newport County

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v York City York City win ✕
  2. W 1–0 v Colchester United Newport County Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Gillingham Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Grimsby Town Newport County Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Accrington Stanley Newport County Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

No earlier meeting in our records.

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.