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Match prediction · League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United

Sat 17 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Highbury Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Rotherham United Away +1.5

For this to come in, Rotherham United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Fleetwood Town

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–3
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Salford City Fleetwood Town Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Rochdale Fleetwood Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–3 at Barnet Barnet or draw ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Newport County Newport County Home +1.5 ✓

Rotherham United

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 3–3
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 1–4

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. L 1–4 v Gillingham Rotherham United or draw ✕
  2. L 0–1 at Exeter City Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Northampton Town Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 3–3 v Salford City Salford City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Fleetwood Town wins 3 Draws 1 Rotherham United wins 1
  1. 15 Jan 2022 Fleetwood Town 1–0 Rotherham United
  2. 11 Sep 2021 Rotherham United 2–4 Fleetwood Town
  3. 21 Dec 2019 Rotherham United 2–2 Fleetwood Town
  4. 7 Apr 2018 Rotherham United 3–2 Fleetwood Town
  5. 5 Aug 2017 Fleetwood Town 2–0 Rotherham United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.