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Match prediction · League Two

Rotherham United vs Shrewsbury Town

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · New York Stadium

Our call 1X
Rotherham United or draw

For this to come in, Rotherham United must win or draw.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Rotherham United

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✕ 1–4
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 v Newport County Rotherham United win ✕
  2. L 0–2 at Fleetwood Town Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 1–4 v Gillingham Rotherham United or draw ✕
  4. L 0–1 at Exeter City Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓

Shrewsbury Town

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✕ 2–1
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 3–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 3–2 at Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 1–0 v Bristol Rovers Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 v Exeter City Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town win ✕
  5. D 2–2 v Colchester United Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Rotherham United wins 1 Draws 2 Shrewsbury Town wins 2
  1. 8 Feb 2025 Rotherham United 1–2 Shrewsbury Town
  2. 28 Sep 2024 Shrewsbury Town 1–1 Rotherham United
  3. 19 Mar 2022 Rotherham United 0–3 Shrewsbury Town
  4. 1 Mar 2022 Shrewsbury Town 0–0 Rotherham United
  5. 26 Dec 2019 Shrewsbury Town 1–2 Rotherham United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.