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Match prediction · League Two

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Shrewsbury Town Away +1.5

For this to come in, Shrewsbury Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Crawley Town

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✓ 2–3
  2. ✓ 1–3
  3. ✓ 0–2
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Salford City Salford City or draw ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Chesterfield Crawley Town Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town or draw ✓
  4. L 1–3 v Cheltenham Town Either team to win ✓
  5. L 2–3 at Accrington Stanley Crawley Town Away +1.5 ✓

Shrewsbury Town

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✕ 2–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Bristol Rovers Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Exeter City Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town win ✕
  4. D 2–2 v Colchester United Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Crewe Alexandra Shrewsbury Town Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Crawley Town wins 1 Draws 2 Shrewsbury Town wins 2
  1. 18 Apr 2026 Crawley Town 0–0 Shrewsbury Town
  2. 18 Oct 2025 Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Crawley Town
  3. 3 May 2025 Shrewsbury Town 1–2 Crawley Town
  4. 12 Oct 2024 Crawley Town 3–5 Shrewsbury Town
  5. 11 Mar 2014 Shrewsbury Town 1–1 Crawley Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.