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Match prediction · League Two

Salford City vs Crawley Town

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call 1X
Salford City or draw

For this to come in, Salford City must win or draw.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Salford City

W4 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 3–3
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 4–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–0 at Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✕
  2. W 1–0 v Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 4–1 at Oldham Athletic Salford City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Swindon Town Swindon Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 3–3 at Rotherham United Salford City Away +1.5 ✓

Crawley Town

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–3
  3. ✓ 1–3
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 v Chesterfield Crawley Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–2 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town or draw ✓
  3. L 1–3 v Cheltenham Town Either team to win ✓
  4. L 2–3 at Accrington Stanley Crawley Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Northampton Town Crawley Town Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Salford City wins 2 Draws 2 Crawley Town wins 1
  1. 2 May 2026 Crawley Town 0–0 Salford City
  2. 29 Nov 2025 Salford City 4–3 Crawley Town
  3. 13 Jan 2024 Crawley Town 0–1 Salford City
  4. 12 Aug 2023 Salford City 1–1 Crawley Town
  5. 28 Jan 2023 Crawley Town 3–2 Salford City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.