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Match prediction · League Two

Salford City vs Northampton Town

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Northampton Town Away +1.5

For this to come in, Northampton Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Salford City

W5 D0 L0
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 4–2
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–1 v Exeter City Exeter City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–2 at Walsall Salford City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Crawley Town Salford City or draw ✓
  5. W 2–0 at Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✕

Northampton Town

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✕ 2–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–1 v Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Accrington Stanley Northampton Town Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–0 v Colchester United Colchester United Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–1 v Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town or draw ✕

Last meetings

Salford City wins 2 Draws 1 Northampton Town wins 2
  1. 7 Jan 2023 Salford City 2–1 Northampton Town
  2. 8 Oct 2022 Northampton Town 0–1 Salford City
  3. 29 Jan 2022 Northampton Town 1–0 Salford City
  4. 25 Sep 2021 Salford City 2–2 Northampton Town
  5. 11 Jan 2020 Salford City 1–2 Northampton Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.