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Match prediction · League Two

Salford City vs Exeter City

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Exeter City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Exeter City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 80%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Salford City

W5 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 2–0
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 4–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 4–2 at Walsall Salford City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Crawley Town Salford City or draw ✓
  4. W 2–0 at Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✕
  5. W 1–0 v Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town Away +1.5 ✓

Exeter City

W4 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–1 v Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 0–0 at Colchester United Exeter City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Salford City wins 0 Draws 2 Exeter City wins 3
  1. 12 Mar 2022 Exeter City 0–0 Salford City
  2. 30 Oct 2021 Salford City 1–2 Exeter City
  3. 27 Mar 2021 Exeter City 1–0 Salford City
  4. 12 Sep 2020 Salford City 2–2 Exeter City
  5. 14 Dec 2019 Salford City 0–1 Exeter City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.